Hurricane Update

Tropical Cyclone “Freddy” — The longest-lived and one-of-a-kind tropical cyclone in history

Revelation 16:9

And men were scorched with great heat, and they blasphemed the name of God who has power over these plagues; and they did not repent and give Him glory.

Revelation 8:7

The first angel sounded: And hail and fire followed, mingled with blood, and they were thrown to the earth. And a third of the trees were burned up, and all green grass was burned up.

Revelation 8:11

The name of the star is Wormwood. A third of the waters became wormwood, and many men died from the water, because it was made bitter.

Revelation 8:9

And a third of the living creatures in the sea died, and a third of the ships were destroyed.

Acts 2:19

I will show wonders in heaven above And signs in the earth beneath: Blood and fire and vapor of smoke.

Luke 21:25

“And there will be signs in the sun, in the moon, and in the stars; and on the earth distress of nations, with perplexity, the sea and the waves roaring;

Luke 21:11

And there will be great earthquakes in various places, and famines and pestilences; and there will be fearful sights and great signs from heaven.

Revelation 16:12 Then the sixth angel poured out his bowl on the great river Euphrates, and its water was dried up, so that the way of the kings from the east might be prepared.

Revelation 16:18 And there were noises and thunderings and lightnings; and there was a great earthquake, such a mighty and great earthquake as had not occurred since men were on the earth. 19 Now the great city was divided into three parts, and the cities of the nations fell. And great Babylon was remembered before God, to give her the cup of the wine of the fierceness of His wrath. 20 Then every island fled away, and the mountains were not found. 21 And great hail from heaven fell upon men, each hailstone about the weight of a talent (100lbs). Men blasphemed God because of the plague of the hail, since that plague was exceedingly great.

Seismic Hazard Assessment for Tabuk Region, NW Saudi Arabia

Ziyad I. Al-Besher King Abdul-Aziz City for Science and Technology, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia

Tectonic Setting: The Tabuk is an area located in the northwestern part of the Arabian Plate. This Plate is surrounded by three tectonic regimes; divergent, convergent, and transform. The divergent boundaries in the west and south represent the recent spreading along the Red Sea and the Gulf of Aden respectively. The active convergent margin lies to the northeast in the TurkishIranian Plateau, where continental collision has given rise to this Plateau.

The geology and tectonics of western Saudi Arabia is dominated by the Arabian Shield, the Red Sea, and the Gulf of Aden in the west-southwest.

Tropical Cyclone “Freddy” — The longest-lived and one-of-a-kind tropical cyclone in history

Monday, March 6, 2023

History is being made in the world of tropical cyclones, as Tropical Cyclone “Freddy” continues to make its mark. Born northwest of Australia on February 3, 2023, Freddy is now being called one-of-a-kind and the longest-lived cyclone ever documented.

This storm is something never seen before and will undoubtedly go down in history as an exceptional tropical cyclone.

Freddy traversed the entire 10 000 km (6 200 miles) wide Indian Ocean and became the first Category 5 storm of 2023, while also breaking the record for the most amount of cyclone energy ever recorded.

The cyclone has made two landfalls to western Madagascar and Africa’s Mozambique, resulting in multiple fatalities. As of March 3, at least 14 people have been killed — 7 in Mozambique and 7 in Madagascar.

Freddy could possibly make another landfall in Mozambique at the end of the week, but the forecast is still too uncertain to be able to precise timing and exposed areas.

Freddy originated from a weak area of low pressure that was embedded in a monsoon trough of low pressure stretching east-west across the Timor Sea between northern Australia and southern Indonesia. On February 6, 15 days before it would make its first landfall in Madagascar, both the Australian Bureau of Meteorology and the US Joint Typhoon Warning Center reported the formation of Tropical Cyclone “Freddy” about 676 km (420 miles) NW of the northwest coast of Australia.

In a rare but not unprecedented event, Freddy tracked across the entire Indian Ocean from east to west in almost a straight line with very little deviation in latitude. Along the way, Freddy underwent four separate rapid intensification cycles, the first southern hemisphere storm to do so. Freddy was also the first storm to reach the equivalent of Category 5 intensity on the Saffir-Simpson scale for 2023.

Most notably, Freddy has set the record for having the highest accumulated cyclone energy (ACE) of any southern hemisphere storm in history. ACE is an index used to measure the total amount of wind energy associated with a tropical cyclone over its lifetime.

Despite this, Freddy’s record-breaking streak is far from over. Forecast to crush the previous record set back in 1994 by Hurricane John’s 31-day streak across the Pacific, Freddy will retain tropical characteristics for at least another week.

This has resulted in a puzzling storm track that seems more like a pinball than a tropical cyclone, said meteorologist Rachel Modestino of The Weather Network.

Moving backward, Freddy is expected to double dip on Madagascar and Mozambique impacts. The storm aims to graze eastern Madagascar before heading back to Mozambique into the weekend, tallying its landfalls to at least three. This backtrack is abnormal as weather systems typically move from east to west in the Southern Hemisphere, but Freddy has moved the complete opposite for six days.

Upon its approach to eastern Madagascar, the storm is expected to strengthen into a Category 1 cyclone, grow vertically and interact with the prevailing westerlies. Freddy will travel northwest through the work week towards Mozambique, where its third landfall is forecast by Friday or Saturday, March 10 or 11.

At 06:00 am UTC on March 6, 2023, the center of Severe Tropical Storm “Freddy” was about 390 km (232 miles) SW of Antsirabe and 480 km (298 miles) SW of Fianaranstoa, Madagascar. The cyclone had a maximum 10-minute wind speed of approximately 92 km/h (57 mph) and was moving SW at a speed of 4 km/h (2.3 mph). Its minimum central pressure was 981 hPa, according to the La Reunion RSMC.

Freddy’s movement should slow down significantly today under the influence of contradictory steering flows, the center said.

A gradual turn towards the west and then the northwest should take place due to the strengthening of the subtropical ridge to the south and southwest of Freddy.

The trajectory should be established permanently towards the northwest from Tuesday, March 7. The dispersion between models remains strong for the rest of the week, concerning both the speed of movement and the direction of movement. However, according to the present forecast, Freddy could approach Mozambique at a mature stage at the end of the week.

In terms of intensity, Freddy is currently benefiting from rather favorable environmental conditions despite a small westerly shear stress which should cause its intensity to level off on Monday. Then, the intensification should remain slow at first because of the presence of mid shear, followed by the arrival in waters with less energetic potential.

From Thursday night to Friday, March 9 to 10, the improvement of the environment (the decrease of the mid shear, a good aloft divergence under the high troposphere ridge, and especially the arrival in a pocket of very warm waters), should allow the increase of the rate of intensification, to reach the stage of an intense tropical cyclone.

But how can they call on him (Jesus Christ) to save them unless they believe in him (Jesus Christ)? And how can they believe in him (Jesus Christ) if they have never heard about him (Jesus Christ)? And how can they hear about him (Jesus Christ) unless someone tells them?” —Romans 10:14

In His Service,

Night Watchman

Paul Rolland

Night Watchman Ministries

Make Your Decision for Christ NOW!!!!!!! Time is Up!!!!!!!

Jesus Christ’s Offer of Salvation:

The ABCs of Salvation through Jesus Christ (the Lamb)

A. Admit/Acknowledge/Accept that you are sinner. Ask God’s forgiveness and repent of your sins.

. . . “For all have sinned, and come short of the glory of God.” (Romans 3:23).

. . . “As it is written, There is none righteous, no, not one.” (Romans 3:10).

. . . “If we say that we have no sin, we deceive ourselves, and the truth is not in us.” (1 John 1:8).

B. Believe Jesus is Lord. Believe that Jesus Christ is who He claimed to be; that He was both fully God and fully man and that we are saved through His death, burial, and resurrection. Put your trust in Him as your only hope of salvation. Become a son or daughter of God by receiving Christ.

. . . “That whosoever believeth in him should not perish, but have eternal life. For God so loved the world, that he gave his only begotten Son, that whosoever believeth in him should not perish, but have everlasting life. For God sent not his son into the world to condemn the world; but that the world through him might be saved. (John 3:15-17). For whosoever shall call upon the name of the Lord shall be saved.” (Romans 10:13).

C. Call upon His name, Confess with your heart and with your lips that Jesus is your Lord and Savior.

. . . “That if thou shalt confess with thy mouth the Lord Jesus, and shalt believe in thine heart that God hath raised him from the dead, thou shalt be saved. For with the heart man believeth unto righteousness; and with the mouth confession is made unto salvation.” (Romans 10:9-10).

. . . “If we say that we have no sin, we deceive ourselves, and the truth is not in us. If we confess our sins, he is faithful and just to forgive us our sins, and to cleanse us from all unrighteousness. If we say that we have not sinned, we make him a liar, and his word is not in us.” (John 1:8-10).

. . . “And he is the propitiation for our sins: and not for ours only, but also for the sins of the whole world. (John 2:2).

. . . “In this was manifested the love of god toward us, because that God sent his only begotten Son into the world, that we might live through him. And we have seen and do testify that the Father sent the Son to be the Saviour of the world. Whosoever shall confess that Jesus is the Son of God, God dwelleth in him, and he in God.” (1 John 4:9, 14-15).

. . . “But God commendeth his love toward us, in that, while we were yet sinners, Christ died for us. Much more then, being now justified by his blood, we shall be saved from wrath through him. For if, when we were enemies, we were reconciled to God by the death of his Son, much more, being reconciled, we shall be saved by his life.” (Romans 5:8-10).

. . . “For the wages of sin is death; but the gift of God is eternal life through Jesus Christ our Lord.” (Romans 6:23).

. . . “Jesus saith unto them, I am the way, the truth, and the life, no man cometh unto the Father, but by me.” (John 14:6).

. . . “For I am not ashamed of the gospel of Christ: for it is the power of God unto salvation to everyone that believeth.” (Romans 1:16).

. . . “Neither is there salvation in any other: for there is none other name under heaven given among men, whereby we must be saved.” (Acts: 4:12).

. . . “Who will have all men to be saved, and to come unto the knowledge of the truth for there is one God, and one mediator between God and men, the man Christ Jesus.” (1 Timothy 2:4-6).

. . . “For God did not appoint us to suffer wrath but to receive salvation through our Lord Jesus Christ.” (1 Thessalonians 5:9).

. . . “But as many as received him, to them gave the power to become the sons of God, even to them that believe on his name.” (John 1:12).

True Church / Bride of Christ Spared from God’s Wrath:

 Romans 5:8-10. “But God commendeth his love toward us, in that, while we were yet sinners, Christ died for us. Much more then, being now justified by his blood, we shall be saved from wrath through him. For if, when we were enemies, we were reconciled to God by the death of his Son, much more, being reconciled, we shall be saved by his life.”

Romans 12:19. Dearly beloved, avenge not yourselves, but rather give place unto wrath: for it is written, Vengeance is mine; I will repay, saith the Lord.

1 Thessalonians 1:10. And to wait for his Son from heaven, whom he raised from the dead, even Jesus, which delivered us from the wrath to come.

1 Thessalonians 5:9. For God hath not appointed us to wrath, but to obtain salvation by our Lord Jesus Christ,

Romans 8:35. Who shall separate us from the love of Christ? shall tribulation, or distress, or persecution, or famine, or nakedness, or peril, or sword?

Jeremiah 30:7. Alas! for that day is great, so that none is like it: it is even the time of Jacob’s trouble, but he shall be saved out of it.

Revelation 3:10 Because thou hast kept the word of my patience, I also will keep thee from the hour of temptation, which shall come upon all the world, to try them that dwell upon the earth.

Categories: Hurricane Update

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