Wheat for a Penny

Fertilizer Crisis Means Higher Prices for Every Plate of Food

Ezekiel 33:6

But if the watchman see the sword come, and blow not the trumpet, and the people be not warned; if the sword come, and take any person from among them, he is taken away in his iniquity; but his blood will I require at the watchman’s hand.

Ezekiel 33:3

If when he seeth the sword come upon the land, he blow the trumpetand warn the people;

Ezekiel 33:4

Then whosoever heareth the sound of the trumpet, and taketh not warning; if the sword come, and take him away, his blood shall be upon his own head.

Ezekiel 33:5

He heard the sound of the trumpet, and took not warning; his blood shall be upon him. But he that taketh warning shall deliver his soul.

Luke 21:11 And great earthquakes shall be in diverse places, and famines, and pestilences; and fearful sights and great signs shall there be from heaven.

The following is my discernment and teaching. The Apocalypse is a ‘REVEALING’ or showing what is coming. Chapter six is a 70,000 foot view or general recap of the coming seven (7) year tribulation. It starts off with the revealing of the Beast or Antichrist and ends with the Armageddon battle on the Day or our Lord’s Return to Earth, to ‘rule the nations with an iron rod.’

6 And I saw when the Lamb opened one of the seals, and I heard, as it were the noise of thunder, one of the four beasts saying, Come and see.

(Commentary; Christ, the Lamb was the ONLY ONE WORTHY in heaven, to have the authority to ‘open’ the seals and start the tribulation)

2 And I saw, and behold a white horse: and he that sat on him had a bow; and a crown was given unto him: and he went forth conquering, and to conquer.

Commentary; the rider is the ‘beast’ or ‘antichrist’. His being clothed in white suggests false righteousness, false peace and false authority. He has a bow, but no arrows. He rules with lies and threats, but no military or arms. He conquers and subjugates, not with force but with lies, deception, false covenants and false agreements. He is the world’s greatest ‘political’ leader and deceiver. He is the one who ‘confirms the false covenant of seven years with Jacob’ which starts the tribulation. You should know now of who I speak. His ‘crown’ represents authority, rulership and position. It even literally represents his ‘position’ as Crown Prince, once the tribulation begins. My discernment is that the ‘white horse upon which he sits’ is symbolically a white Arabian stallion.

3 And when he had opened the second seal, I heard the second beast say, Come and see.

4 And there went out another horse that was red: and power was given to him that sat thereon to take peace from the earth, and that they should kill one another: and there was given unto him a great sword.

Commentary; ‘Rumours and Threats of Wars’ are no longer threats, but reality. War will literally ‘break out’ across the earth as nations wage war against one another. This is NOT Armageddon or WWWIII. They are fighting each other, not a common enemy or common threat. Different countries have differences between each other, and no one in particular … except perhaps for the ‘King of the East.’ This is my discernment. ‘Great Sword’ suggests great military technology, as a sword is a reference to military arms. Humanity has more destructive military power at its fingertips now than at any point in human history.

5 And when he had opened the third seal, I heard the third beast say, Come and see. And I beheld, and lo a black horse; and he that sat on him had a pair of balances in his hand.

Commentary; balances are symbolic for economic transactions and ‘prices’ for things such as wheat and barley grain, bread, olive oil, wine, various food commodities. These are common throughout the world and are considered by most as the ‘staples of life or living.’

6 And I heard a voice in the midst of the four beasts say, A measure of wheat for a penny, and three measures of barley for a penny; and see thou hurt not the oil and the wine.

Commentary; The world will have reached a point of ‘climate apartheid’ where only the wealthy can afford basic food resources in the face of fatal droughts, famine, locust swarms and heatwaves, while the rest of the world suffers. Only the extreme rich can afford expensive cooking oil, baked pastries and loaves of multi-grain breads, fancy wines and related luxurious food stuffs. Yet, the ‘average peasant’ has to work for an entire day’s wages just to be able to buy enough wheat to make a loaf of bread. Great and severe income inequality is rampant worldwide. The ‘few’ own a massive disproportion of the earth’s wealth and bounty. Billionaires vs billions of poor. The ‘Crown Prince’ owns 60,000 (6) tonnes of wheat in his store houses or graineries while the few grain silos in the Port of Lebanon were destroyed and its people are threatened with expensive grain shortages that require humanitarian assistance.

7 And when he had opened the fourth seal, I heard the voice of the fourth beast say, Come and see.

8 And I looked, and behold a pale horse: and his name that sat on him was Death, and Hell followed with him. And power was given unto them over the fourth part of the earth, to kill with sword, and with hunger, and with death, and with the beasts of the earth.

Commentary; ‘pale’ suggests disease, death and dying. Disease and death are the normal results for those subjected to endless warring. Cholera, famine, infection, no clean water, no housing, no medicine, no hospitals, etc., all play a part in continuing to kill those who were not killed in direct fighting. These are normally the ‘innocent’ or the civilians, not the military. Hell follows, why? Because the vast majority of peoples in Asia, Africa, the Middle East and elsewhere have rejected the gospel of salvation by Jesus Christ for just over 2,000 years. They follow Satan’s lies (Islam) and deceptions with other false religions (Hindu deities) and various deceiving doctrines. Even though they appear ‘innocent’ by the world’s standards, they are none-the-less ‘unsaved’ because of their rejection of Christ. Time is up, they unfortunately die because of the effects of war, in an unsaved state … hence ‘hell awaits them’. This is truth.

Fertilizer Crisis Means Higher Prices for Every Plate of Food

Elizabeth Elkin and Tatiana Freitas

Wed, November 3, 2021, 9:30 AM·8 min read

(Bloomberg) — Fertilizer is so vital to Walter do Carmo Padua Jr.’s coffee trees that he can’t imagine producing any beans without it. That’s a problem because getting his hands on the stuff is now harder than any time in his 20 years of farming as the world faces record fertilizer prices in the latest threat to food security.

In Brazil’s Minas Gerais state, the coffee heart of the world’s biggest exporter, Padua is still waiting for deliveries on about 50% (5) the fertilizer he paid for five (5) months ago. After losing about 40% of his crop last year to drought, his farm was then hit by frost. Plants are extremely stressed, and he’s worried production this upcoming season will be even worse than the last if he doesn’t get the fertilizers he needs.

“That’s food for coffee,” Padua said. “Everything goes wrong even when applying fertilizers. Can you imagine if I don’t?”

The problems couldn’t have come at a worse time for agricultural supply chains. Global food prices have surged more than 30% in the past 12 months to reach a decade high as climate change ravages crops and the pandemic’s blow snarls production. Meanwhile, about a 10th of the world already doesn’t have enough to eat. The fertilizer crisis means major staple crops — corn, rice and wheat — are in further jeopardy, sending the Bloomberg Grains Spot Subindex up about 4% in the past month.

Blame the energy crunch.

Nitrogen-based fertilizers, the most important crop nutrients, are made through a process dependent on natural gas or coal. Those fuels are in extremely tight supply, forcing fertilizer plants in Europe to cut back on production or even, in some cases, close. Meanwhile, China has curbed exports to ensure enough domestic supply. That’s on top of elevated freight rates, increased tariffs and extreme weather, all of which have disrupted global shipments.

Food Prices Poised to Surge With Fertilizer at Highest in Years

It’s hard to overstate the importance of fertilizer to the food supply. Nearly every plate of food you touch has gotten there with the help of fertilizers. Even organic foods use animal manure and other nutrients. But it’s synthetic fertilizers that are widely credited for how the world gets fed.

Since we first started making synthetic fertilizers a little more than a century ago, the planet has gone from roughly 1.7 billion people to about 7.7 billion, largely thanks to enormous growth in crop yields. Some experts have even estimated the global population might be half of what it is today without nitrogen fertilizer.

With fertilizer markets now seeing unprecedented supply shocks and record prices, it means even more food inflation across the world.

Global commodity futures are already convulsing. Benchmark wheat prices have shot up to the highest since 2012, coffee is near multi-year highs and corn has also jumped.

Across Brazil, about a third of the nation’s coffee farmers don’t have enough fertilizer. In the U.S., some corn growers are seeing prices that are more than double what they paid last year. In Thailand, some rice farmers are calling on the government to intervene in the spiraling market.

And two of the world’s top fertilizer producers, Nutrien Ltd. and Mosaic Co., have said they expect the price surge will continue.

Nutrien CEO Sees Farmers Spending Big on Fertilizer

“Farmers could pass the higher cost of fertilizers on to consumers in the form of lower crop production and the subsequent higher food prices,” said Alexis Maxwell, an analyst at Green Markets, a business owned by Bloomberg.

A benchmark North American fertilizer price index rose 0.4% to $1,017.87 per short ton Friday, still teetering close to a record reached in October, according to Bloomberg’s Green Markets. A gauge of western European prices for ammonia, used to make nitrogen fertilizer, surged 12% last week to a 13-year high of $910 a metric ton. Other price measures have also soared.

Latin American Coffee

About 30% of Brazil’s coffee farmers haven’t received the fertilizers they’ve ordered, or worse, can’t find any to buy, according to Regis Ricco, a director at Minas Gerais-based RR Consultoria Rural. This could result in losses for the next two years since the soil may not get enough nutrients to support the development of plants that will produce beans in 2023’s crop, he said.

Meanwhile in Peru, shipments of urea are delayed by as much as three months, and its price has tripled from $20 per 50-kilogram bag to $60, said Lorenzo Castillo, general manager of the nation’s National Coffee Board. That will absolutely hurt yields next year because growers won’t be able to afford as much as they’d typically use, he said.

For many Latin American coffee growers, the higher costs come at a time when weaker local currencies make importing inputs more expensive.

U.S. Corn

In the U.S., high fertilizer prices could mean a smaller corn crop. The yellow grain uses more nitrogen fertilizers, so some farmers could look to cut costs by switching to soybeans, said Maxwell of Green Markets. Corn futures in Chicago have jumped more than 10% since mid-October, driven by concerns over shrinking plantings.

Fertilizer Prices Could Drive Cost of Corn Production Up 16%

Dan Cekander, a fourth-generation soybean and corn farmer in central Illinois, has been farming since 1987 and said he’s never seen fertilizer prices this high.

In mid-October, Cekander started making inquiries into ammonia. The quote, at $880 a ton, was 75% higher than the $504 a ton he paid last year. But he usually applies fertilizer in the spring, so he decided to hold off on buying.

Just two weeks later, the price shot up to $1,320, he said.

“The cheaper stuff is gone,” said Cekander, who may end up changing his usually planting plans of splitting his acreage 50-50 between corn and soybeans.

“I’ll have to see what the price is,” he said. “If it’s just ridiculous, we may have to do something different — either use less or switch to beans.”

Europe’s Wheat

Europe has been among the regions worst hit by the energy crisis, and that’s bleeding over into fertilizers.

Surging natural gas prices forced a number of nitrogen-fertilizer plants to halt or curtail production, including Norway’s Yara International ASA and top European chemicals company BASF SE. The gas makes up about 80% of the cost to produce the nutrients and prices are four to five times higher than normal, according to industry group Fertilizers Europe.

Fertilizer scarcity could curb grain yields and quality in the European Union, the world’s biggest wheat exporter and a major barley supplier.

“Day by day, the risks of shortages in France are becoming clearer,” local farming groups said in a joint statement, which estimated rising fertilizer expenses could add 4 billion euros ($4.6 billion) to costs for the agriculture sector.

Thai Rice

Surging fertilizer prices will raise costs for many rice farmers in Asia and risks pushing up prices in a region where the vast majority of the world’s supply is produced and consumed.

Pramote Charoensilp, president of the Thai Agriculturist Association and a rice farmer, said that fertilizer prices for supplies sold in Thailand are on their way to doubling.

“A ton of fertilizer is now more expensive than a ton of rice,” he said. “The government should step in to intervene.”

In the region, fertilizer prices are very tied to exports from China. The country is a key supplier of urea, sulphate and phosphate, accounting for about 30% of global trade. The market has been tight since the nation imposed new hurdles for exporters in a bid to protect domestic supplies.

The Massive Fertilizer Rally Is Coming for Rice: Supply Lines

Canadian Grains

The timing of the fertilizer rally “could not be any worse” for Canada’s farmers, many of whom saw their profits tumble this past growing season after severe drought shriveled crops, said Todd Lewis, president of the Agricultural Producers Association of Saskatchewan. Some may opt to plant crops that require less fertilizer, like lentils, or borrow against their farmland to cover their expenses in 2022, he said.

Rising fertilizer prices are adding an extra C$50 ($40) per acre in costs for farmers like Norm Hall, who saw the harvest of canola, wheat, peas and flax drop by nearly half on his Wynyard, Saskatchewan farm this year. While he’s testing his soil to see if he can apply less fertilizer in some fields, some farmers are taking an even more risky approach, he said.

“There’s guys that aren’t even doing that, they’re just saying ‘I’ll put on half the fertilizer,’” Hall said. “That’s like jumping in your truck to go to the city without looking at the fuel gauge and crossing your fingers that you make it.”

8 References to ‘BE WATCHING or WATCHFUL.’ ‘8’ indicates that a new ‘era or epoch’ is arriving. Be it the rapture, the tribulation, the year of the Jews redemption or the year of the onset (2028) of the 1000 year millennial reign of Christ (2028-3028).

Matthew 24:42; Watch therefore: for ye know not what hour your Lord doth come.

Matthew 25:13; Watch therefore, for ye know neither the day nor the hour wherein the Son of man cometh.

Mark 13:35; Watch ye therefore: for ye know not when the master of the house cometh, at even, or at midnight, or at the cockcrowing, or in the morning.

Luke 21:36; Watch ye therefore, and pray always, that ye may be accounted worthy to escape all these things that shall come to pass, and to stand before the Son of man

Luke 12:37-39; Blessed are those servants, whom the lord when he cometh shall find watching: verily I say unto you, that he shall gird himself, and make them to sit down to meat, and will come forth and serve them. And if he shall come in the second watch, or come in the third watch, and find them so, blessed are those servants. And this know, that if the goodman of the house had known what hour the thief would come, he would have watched, and not have suffered his house to be broken through.

 ‘Increasing Like Labor Pains.’ ‘Fearful Sights.’ ‘Perilous Times.’ ‘Men’s hearts failing with fear.’ Great Convergence of Signs.’ REDEMPTION IMMINENT.

In His Service,

Night Watchman

Paul Rolland

Night Watchman Ministries

Make Your Decision for Christ NOW!!!!!!! Time is Up!!!!!!!

Jesus Christ’s Offer of Salvation:

The ABCs of Salvation through Jesus Christ (the Lamb)

A. Admit/Acknowledge/Accept that you are sinner. Ask God’s forgiveness and repent of your sins.

. . . “For all have sinned, and come short of the glory of God.” (Romans 3:23).

. . . “As it is written, There is none righteous, no, not one.” (Romans 3:10).

. . . “If we say that we have no sin, we deceive ourselves, and the truth is not in us.” (1 John 1:8).

B. Believe Jesus is Lord. Believe that Jesus Christ is who He claimed to be; that He was both fully God and fully man and that we are saved through His death, burial, and resurrection. Put your trust in Him as your only hope of salvation. Become a son or daughter of God by receiving Christ.

. . . “That whosoever believeth in him should not perish, but have eternal life. For God so loved the world, that he gave his only begotten Son, that whosoever believeth in him should not perish, but have everlasting life. For God sent not his son into the world to condemn the world; but that the world through him might be saved. (John 3:15-17). For whosoever shall call upon the name of the Lord shall be saved.” (Romans 10:13).

C. Call upon His name, Confess with your heart and with your lips that Jesus is your Lord and Savior.

. . . “That if thou shalt confess with thy mouth the Lord Jesus, and shalt believe in thine heart that God hath raised him from the dead, thou shalt be saved. For with the heart man believeth unto righteousness; and with the mouth confession is made unto salvation.” (Romans 10:9-10).

. . . “If we say that we have no sin, we deceive ourselves, and the truth is not in us. If we confess our sins, he is faithful and just to forgive us our sins, and to cleanse us from all unrighteousness. If we say that we have not sinned, we make him a liar, and his word is not in us.” (John 1:8-10).

. . . “And he is the propitiation for our sins: and not for ours only, but also for the sins of the whole world. (John 2:2).

. . . “In this was manifested the love of god toward us, because that God sent his only begotten Son into the world, that we might live through him. And we have seen and do testify that the Father sent the Son to be the Saviour of the world. Whosoever shall confess that Jesus is the Son of God, God dwelleth in him, and he in God.” (1 John 4:9, 14-15).

. . . “But God commendeth his love toward us, in that, while we were yet sinners, Christ died for us. Much more then, being now justified by his blood, we shall be saved from wrath through him. For if, when we were enemies, we were reconciled to God by the death of his Son, much more, being reconciled, we shall be saved by his life.” (Romans 5:8-10).

. . . “For the wages of sin is death; but the gift of God is eternal life through Jesus Christ our Lord.” (Romans 6:23).

. . . “Jesus saith unto them, I am the way, the truth, and the life, no man cometh unto the Father, but by me.” (John 14:6).

. . . “For I am not ashamed of the gospel of Christ: for it is the power of God unto salvation to everyone that believeth.” (Romans 1:16).

. . . “Neither is there salvation in any other: for there is none other name under heaven given among men, whereby we must be saved.” (Acts: 4:12).

. . . “Who will have all men to be saved, and to come unto the knowledge of the truth for there is one God, and one mediator between God and men, the man Christ Jesus.” (1 Timothy 2:4-6).

. . . “For God did not appoint us to suffer wrath but to receive salvation through our Lord Jesus Christ.” (1 Thessalonians 5:9).

. . . “But as many as received him, to them gave the power to become the sons of God, even to them that believe on his name.” (John 1:12).

True Church / Bride of Christ Spared from God’s Wrath:

 Romans 5:8-10. “But God commendeth his love toward us, in that, while we were yet sinners, Christ died for us. Much more then, being now justified by his blood, we shall be saved from wrath through him. For if, when we were enemies, we were reconciled to God by the death of his Son, much more, being reconciled, we shall be saved by his life.”

Romans 12:19. Dearly beloved, avenge not yourselves, but rather give place unto wrath: for it is written, Vengeance is mine; I will repay, saith the Lord.

1 Thessalonians 1:10. And to wait for his Son from heaven, whom he raised from the dead, even Jesus, which delivered us from the wrath to come.

1 Thessalonians 5:9. For God hath not appointed us to wrath, but to obtain salvation by our Lord Jesus Christ,

Romans 8:35. Who shall separate us from the love of Christ? shall tribulation, or distress, or persecution, or famine, or nakedness, or peril, or sword?

Jeremiah 30:7. Alas! for that day is great, so that none is like it: it is even the time of Jacob’s trouble, but he shall be saved out of it.

Revelation 3:10 Because thou hast kept the word of my patience, I also will keep thee from the hour of temptation, which shall come upon all the world, to try them that dwell upon the earth.

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