Even so, when you see all these things, you know that it is near, right at the door.
Even so, when you see these things happening, you know that it is near, right at the door.
Even so, when you see these things happening, you know that the kingdom of God is near.
… And great earthquakes shall be in diverse places, and famines, andpestilences; and fearful sights and great signs shall there be from heaven. (Luke 21:11).
As Israel Passes 5,000 (5) COVID Deaths, Strains and Anti-vaxxers Lurk Around the Corner
Amos Harel Published at Feb 4, 2021 23:04 Updated at Feb 5, 2021 01:52 Haaretz
An unmistakable pall descended on the coronavirus dialogue in Israel over the past week. The expectations of a speedy exit from the crisis thanks to the extensive vaccination project have yet to be realized. In the first place, the pace of the vaccination operation has slowed down because of a falloff in the public’s response.
As a result, on Thursday the Health Ministry was compelled to accede to the request of the health maintenance organizations and make vaccinations available to the 18-35 age group as well as the older population.
And second, the vaccinations haven’t yet significantly curbed the virus’ spread or, concomitantly, the extent of morbidity. The decline in morbidity among the elderly, thanks to the vaccination program, is apparently being offset so far by a combination of contrary trends. Namely, the dominance of the new and highly infections British variant of the coronavirus, and the diminishing readiness of the Israeli public to obey the lockdown regulations.
All the mathematical models presented to the government at the end of December predicted a steep fall in the number of seriously ill patients beginning the middle of January, as a result of the vaccinations. All the models were wrong. In practice, there has been a decline of only about 10 percent, to about 1,100, in the number of seriously ill patients – a number that still represents an extremely heavy burden on the hospitals.
The number of new carriers per day has remained quite stable, at between 6,000 and 7,000. If a decision is made to ease the lockdown next week, it will come when the daily number of newly infected is as high as it was when the third lockdown was imposed, at the end of December.
These data don’t leave the health system, in its perception, sufficiently wide margins for error in managing the struggle against the virus. The coronavirus cabinet’s advisory team of experts, headed by Prof. Ran Balicer, has voiced its concern that a rapid and uncontrolled opening of educational institutions and workplaces is liable to cause a broader outbreak of COVID-19, which will be intensified by the British variant.
According to all assessments, the new strain is more infectious. And because children under the age of 16 have not been vaccinated, the (very necessary) opening of the schools could create hothouses of heightened infection.
The danger becomes even more acute in the absence of the planning and supervision that the Education Ministry displayed in putting into practice the division into “learning capsules” in the schools after the exit from the two previous lockdowns.
On the positive side, the immunity of the elderly population is proceeding apace. About 84 percent of those 60 and above have already had at least the first dose. By the end of the month, the great majority of the at-risk population in Israel will have reached the maximum immunity level, which is attained about a week after the second shot. These data place Israel first in the world in terms of vaccination – and they are producing the first fruits in the form of a decrease in the number of the seriously ill among the elderly.
Now, though, the real difficulty begins: persuading those who are in no hurry to be vaccinated. The anti-vaccine types, who are spreading fake news about imaginary hazards liable to result from vaccination, are contributing to this situation. But the grudging approach of the Health Ministry is also a problem. The more its senior officials explain to the public that getting vaccinated won’t bring them any benefits, the less inclination young Israelis have to be inoculated.
The government had hoped to vaccinate 5 million Israelis by mid-March. As of February 4, some 3.3 million Israelis had been inoculated (35.8 percent of the population), of whom 1.9 million (20.7 percent) had received both shots. The rate of vaccination this week, about 100,000 a day, is less than half the capacity of the HMOs. At this rate, the original goal looks far from being attainable.
An additional difficulty exists in regard to children and adolescents: About 30 percent of Israel’s population – those aged 16 and below – can’t get vaccinated at this time. Only if Pfizer will assert, toward the beginning of summer, that its vaccine is safe for the 12-16 age group will it be possible to start vaccinating them as well – and thereby to finally approach the herd immunity bar.
According to the scientists, the more infectious variants have pushed up the bar to 80 percent of the population. In the hope that the vaccines will be effective against the coming strains that will develop, the vaccination of the vast majority of the over-12 population, together with those who have recovered from COVID-19, is needed to reach the goal. Even Israel, the world leader in vaccination, isn’t close to that.
The virus’ current growth rate is also attested to by difficulties that the Israeli army foresaw. On Thursday the Israel Defense Forces recorded a record number of 3,000 soldiers confirmed as carriers of the coronavirus and about 14,000 in quarantine, though the young age of those serving means there is very little serious illness among them. Just last week there were large outbreaks in a naval officers’ course and in the Paratroops’ boot camp, which adversely affected training.
At the same time, the IDF’s insistence on receiving a large number of vaccine doses at an early stage has led to rapid progress in its vaccination program. More than 130,000 soldiers have already received the first dose. The level of response is high, under considerable pressure being exerted by the commanding officers. The commander of an elite unit said this week that 89 percent of his soldiers had been vaccinated, including all the unit’s combat troops.
A pep talk with the commander and with the unit’s medic is needed for the last of the hesitant ones, to persuade them that refusal to be vaccinated might prevent their continued participation in action in the field.
Running against the dead and the sick
The vaccination project still looks like Israel’s only possible exit from the crisis, in the hope that no vaccine-proof variants appear. A document released last week by Military Intelligence’s National Information Center raised the possibility that just such a vaccine-immune variant will develop precisely in Israel, as a result of the interaction between the large-scale vaccination program and the spread of the virus.
At the moment, there is no indication that this pessimistic scenario is materializing. But concern about this possibility has already been voiced in the latest consultations in the government, not least because Israel will not want to be associated with a strain of its own that will cause the virus to spread worldwide. This is probably part of the reason for the panic that’s accompanying the imposition of sweeping restrictions on flights to and from Ben-Gurion Airport, after months of negligence by the government at that portal.
A month ago, when Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu spoke of his intention to open the economy in March and allow the Passover seder to be celebrated by the extended family, he was relying on the vaccine. But the British variant undercut him – Netanyahu knows that he will not be able to declare a festive return to normal before the March 23 election.
If the three inconclusive elections held in 2019 and 2020 revolved around the voters’ attitude toward Netanyahu in view of the corruption indictments filed against him, this time the focus of the election appears to have changed. The key question is Netanyahu’s performance in the coronavirus crisis – in the health and economic arenas. If the vaccinations don’t bring about a dramatic reduction in the incidence of illness, voters might remember the bar of 5,000 dead, which was due to be passed Thursday night, the impotence in the face of the violations by the Haredi public and the tardy closing of the airport.
Netanyahu’s personal involvement in the striking of the deal on the political far-right shows that this time, too, he’s entering the fray as one who’s decided to take no prisoners. With his political rivals confused and split, Netanyahu is determined not to lose even one vote for his coalition, including the votes of avowed Kahanists.
To a degree, it seems as though he’s not running against Yair Lapid or Gideon Sa’ar, but against the dead and the sick. If at the end of March the crisis is still at its peak, it’s possible that the most Netanyahu will be able to strive for is another stalemate, in the hope of continuing the rounds of electoral attrition and staying in power through an almost everlasting transition government.
In contrast to the March 2020 election, the election a year later will take place with tens of thousands of Israelis ill with COVID-19 and more than 100,000 in quarantine. What will the policy be regarding Israelis living abroad who want to come here to vote and perhaps also be vaccinated? It’s a safe gamble that Netanyahu is taking into account a scenario in which widespread morbidity raises anew the question of postponing the election, notwithstanding the legal difficulties this would entail.
And after threescore and two weeks shall Messiah be cut off, but not for himself: and the people of the prince that shall come shall destroy the city and the sanctuary; and the end thereof shall be with a flood, and unto the end of the war desolations are determined. And he shall confirm the covenant with many for one week: and in the midst of the week he shall cause the sacrifice and the oblation to cease, and for the overspreading of abominations he shall make it desolate, even until the consummation, and that determined shall be poured upon the desolate.
Seven (7) References to ‘BE WATCHING or WATCHFUL.’
Matthew 24:42; Watch therefore: for ye know not what hour your Lord doth come.
Matthew 25:13; Watch therefore, for ye know neither the day nor the hour wherein the Son of man cometh.
Mark 13:35; Watch ye therefore: for ye know not when the master of the house cometh, at even, or at midnight, or at the cockcrowing, or in the morning.
Luke 21:36; Watch ye therefore, and pray always, that ye may be accounted worthy to escape all these things that shall come to pass, and to stand before the Son of man
Luke 12:37-39; Blessed are those servants, whom the lord when he cometh shall find watching: verily I say unto you, that he shall gird himself, and make them to sit down to meat, and will come forth and serve them. And if he shall come in the second watch, or come in the third watch, and find them so, blessed are those servants. And this know, that if the goodman of the house had known what hour the thief would come, he would have watched, and not have suffered his house to be broken through.
1 Thessalonians 5:2-4; For yourselves know perfectly that the day of the Lord so cometh as a thief in the night. For when they shall say, Peace and safety; then sudden destruction cometh upon them, as travail upon a woman with child; and they shall not escape. But ye, brethren, are not in darkness, that that day should overtake you as a thief. (Be Watching).
John 13:19 Now I tell you before it come, that, when it is come to pass, ye may believe that I am he.
John 14:29 And now I have told you before it come to pass, that, when it is come to pass, ye might believe.
Luke 21:31 So likewise ye, when ye see these things come to pass, know ye that the kingdom of God is nigh at hand.
Mark 13:29 So ye in like manner, when ye shall see these things come to pass, know that it is nigh, even at the doors.
Luke 21:28 And when these things begin to come to pass, then look up, and lift up your heads; for your redemption draweth nigh.
Revelation 1:1 The Revelation of Jesus Christ, which God gave unto him, to shew unto his servants things which must shortly come to pass; and he sent and signified it by his angel unto his servant John:
‘Increasing Like Labor Pains.’ ‘Fearful Sights.’ ‘Perilous Times.’ ‘Men’s hearts failing with fear.’ Great Convergence of Signs.’ REDEMPTION IMMINENT.
In His Service,
Night Watchman Ministries
Make Your Decision for Christ NOW!!!!!!! Time is Up!!!!!!!
Jesus Christ’s Offer of Salvation:
The ABCs of Salvation through Jesus Christ (the Lamb)
A. Admit/Acknowledge/Accept that you are sinner. Ask God’s forgiveness and repent of your sins.
. . . “For all have sinned, and come short of the glory of God.” (Romans 3:23).
. . . “As it is written, There is none righteous, no, not one.” (Romans 3:10).
. . . “If we say that we have no sin, we deceive ourselves, and the truth is not in us.” (1 John 1:8).
B. Believe Jesus is Lord. Believe that Jesus Christ is who He claimed to be; that He was both fully God and fully man and that we are saved through His death, burial, and resurrection. Put your trust in Him as your only hope of salvation. Become a son or daughter of God by receiving Christ.
. . . “That whosoever believeth in him should not perish, but have eternal life. For God so loved the world, that he gave his only begotten Son, that whosoever believeth in him should not perish, but have everlasting life. For God sent not his son into the world to condemn the world; but that the world through him might be saved. (John 3:15-17). For whosoever shall call upon the name of the Lord shall be saved.” (Romans 10:13).
C. Call upon His name, Confess with your heart and with your lips that Jesus is your Lord and Savior.
. . . “That if thou shalt confess with thy mouth the Lord Jesus, and shalt believe in thine heart that God hath raised him from the dead, thou shalt be saved. For with the heart man believeth unto righteousness; and with the mouth confession is made unto salvation.” (Romans 10:9-10).
. . . “If we say that we have no sin, we deceive ourselves, and the truth is not in us. If we confess our sins, he is faithful and just to forgive us our sins, and to cleanse us from all unrighteousness. If we say that we have not sinned, we make him a liar, and his word is not in us.” (John 1:8-10).
. . . “And he is the propitiation for our sins: and not for ours only, but also for the sins of the whole world. (John 2:2).
. . . “In this was manifested the love of god toward us, because that God sent his only begotten Son into the world, that we might live through him. And we have seen and do testify that the Father sent the Son to be the Saviour of the world. Whosoever shall confess that Jesus is the Son of God, God dwelleth in him, and he in God.” (1 John 4:9, 14-15).
. . . “But God commendeth his love toward us, in that, while we were yet sinners, Christ died for us. Much more then, being now justified by his blood, we shall be saved from wrath through him. For if, when we were enemies, we were reconciled to God by the death of his Son, much more, being reconciled, we shall be saved by his life.” (Romans 5:8-10).
. . . “For the wages of sin is death; but the gift of God is eternal life through Jesus Christ our Lord.” (Romans 6:23).
. . . “Jesus saith unto them, I am the way, the truth, and the life, no man cometh unto the Father, but by me.” (John 14:6).
. . . “For I am not ashamed of the gospel of Christ: for it is the power of God unto salvation to everyone that believeth.” (Romans 1:16).
. . . “Neither is there salvation in any other: for there is none other name under heaven given among men, whereby we must be saved.” (Acts: 4:12).
. . . “Who will have all men to be saved, and to come unto the knowledge of the truth for there is one God, and one mediator between God and men, the man Christ Jesus.” (1 Timothy 2:4-6).
. . . “For God did not appoint us to suffer wrath but to receive salvation through our Lord Jesus Christ.” (1 Thessalonians 5:9).
. . . “But as many as received him, to them gave the power to become the sons of God, even to them that believe on his name.” (John 1:12).
True Church / Bride of Christ Spared from God’s Wrath:
Romans 5:8-10. “But God commendeth his love toward us, in that, while we were yet sinners, Christ died for us. Much more then, being now justified by his blood, we shall be saved from wrath through him. For if, when we were enemies, we were reconciled to God by the death of his Son, much more, being reconciled, we shall be saved by his life.”
Romans 12:19. Dearly beloved, avenge not yourselves, but rather give place unto wrath: for it is written, Vengeance is mine; I will repay, saith the Lord.
1 Thessalonians 1:10. And to wait for his Son from heaven, whom he raised from the dead, even Jesus, which delivered us from the wrath to come.
1 Thessalonians 5:9. For God hath not appointed us to wrath, but to obtain salvation by our Lord Jesus Christ,
Romans 8:35. Who shall separate us from the love of Christ? shall tribulation, or distress, or persecution, or famine, or nakedness, or peril, or sword?
Jeremiah 30:7. Alas! for that day is great, so that none is like it: it is even the time of Jacob’s trouble, but he shall be saved out of it.
Revelation 3:10 Because thou hast kept the word of my patience, I also will keep thee from the hour of temptation, which shall come upon all the world, to try them that dwell upon the earth.