Blog note. Jesus indicated
that ‘fearful sights’ (various natural disasters) would occur leading up to the
time known as the Tribulation and Great Tribulation (a combined seven year
period of great destruction on earth). Although these types of things have
occurred in the past for centuries and thousands of years, they could be
identified as the ‘season of the times’ due to the ferociousness of these
events. They would be occurring in greater intensity, severity, frequency,
size, duration, scope … just like the pains that a woman experiences in labor
the farther along she is in the labor process. We are in the ‘season of the
times’ that comes just before the seven (7) year Tribulation/Great Tribulation
… And great earthquakes shall be in diverse places, and famines, and pestilences; and fearful sights and great signs shall there be from heaven. (Luke 21:11).
… And there shall be signs in the sun, and in the moon, and in the stars; and upon the earth distress of nations, with perplexity; the sea and the waves roaring; (Luke 21:25)
… Men’s hearts failing them for fear, and for looking after those things which are coming on the earth: for the powers of heaven shall be shaken; (Luke 21:26)
… This know also, that in the last days perilous times shall come. (2 Timothy 3:1)
Jesus is giving a series of prophecies about what to look for as the age of grace comes to a close. These verses are several of many such prophecies from throughout the Bible. 2017 was the worst year in recorded history for the intensity, frequency, severity, duration and occurrence of a large number of severe natural disasters worldwide. Earthquakes, volcanoes, hurricanes, typhoons, cyclones, torrential flooding, unprecedented wildfires in unusual places, devastating droughts, excessive/scorching heat setting records everywhere, record snowfalls in Europe and Russia. Snow in the Arabia. This list can go on. Most studied Eschatologists believe these ‘fearful sights’ and massive natural disasters are all part of the ‘CONVERGENCE’ of signs that this Biblical and prophetic age is closing. Most people who study prophecy are familiar with the routine reference(s) made that these things will be like a woman having labor pains, growing in intensity, frequency, size and duration.
July 10, 2019
Up to 2 feet of rain to deluge Gulf states as Barry brews offshore
By Alex Sosnowski, AccuWeather senior meteorologist
Residents along the Gulf Coast should begin bracing for heavy rainfall and a possible damaging storm surge as the formation of a tropical storm — the second named system of the Atlantic hurricane season — is increasingly looking like a certainty late this week. Tropical Storm Barry has a 90 percent chance of forming, AccuWeather forecasters say, and, depending on the track it takes, the storm could flirt with becoming a hurricane before making landfall.
“AccuWeather meteorologists believe this system will become a tropical depression on or before Thursday and Tropical Storm Barry by Friday,” according to AccuWeather Hurricane Expert Dan Kottlowski.
“We expect the budding tropical system to drift southwestward over the northern Gulf of Mexico into Wednesday night then take a more westerly track on Thursday,” Kottlowski said.
This track takes the feature far enough away from the coast to allow for organization and strengthening. Wind shear is low over this portion of the Gulf of Mexico.
“Barry could become a strong tropical storm or perhaps even a hurricane, depending on how long the system remains over the warm water,” Kottlowski said.
Water temperatures in the northern Gulf of Mexico are in the middle to upper 80s F.
“Right now, our greatest concern is for torrential rain that would result in life-threatening flooding,” Kottlowski said.
Given the westward, slow-moving nature of the storm, a general 2-8 inches of rain is likely from the Florida Panhandle to the upper part of the Texas coast.
However, near and just north of where the center of the storm makes landfall, rainfall is likely to increase at an exponential rate.
“The heaviest rain is expected to fall on parts of Louisiana, Mississippi, western Tennessee, Arkansas and northeastern Texas,” Kottlowski said.
AccuWeather is forecasting a Local Storm Max™ of 24 inches from this developing tropical system.
Southeastern Texas may also receive similar rainfall, but only if the storm were to move ashore along the western Gulf coast.
Enough rain may fall to produce everything from street and highway flooding to small stream, bayou and river flooding.
A track of the storm center into south-central Louisiana may bring relatively little rain to much of southeastern Texas. However, a track into the middle part of the Texas could could produce tremendous rainfall in the Houston and Port Arthur, Texas, area.
“A second concern we have is for storm surge flooding,” Kottlowski said.
Even a relatively weak, slow-moving tropical storm, on its eastern side, can pump a significant amount of water northward from the Gulf of Mexico.
Officials in New Orleans are monitoring for any potential storm surge impacts on the Mississippi River.
“The city is protected to a project height of 20 feet. There is still a great deal of uncertainty regarding potential impacts, so please continue to monitor the forecast over the next several days for the latest information,” the National Weather Service in New Orleans said in a tweet.
The stronger the system becomes before landfall, the greater the risk of a significant storm surge near and north and east of the center of the storm.
“Another concern is for wind associated with the storm,” Kottlowski said.
How strong the feature becomes will determine the strength of the wind. However, there is potential for the system to become a hurricane should it remain offshore into Saturday.
Even in lieu of a hurricane, sometimes tropical storms that are near the coast or make landfall can unleash sudden tornadoes. Some of the tornadoes can be wrapped in rain and difficult to see until the storm is already upon a neighborhood.
A tropical depression, tropical storm or minimal hurricane is likely to have little to no impact on operations of offshore oil and gas rigs.
A major hurricane in these areas could significantly impact production. Most offshore oil and gas rigs in the Gulf of Mexico are in the north-central and western portion of the basin.
Four of the largest oil refineries in the world, based on processing capacity, are located in Louisiana and Texas.
Even in absence of a hurricane, gusty thunderstorms and isolated tornadoes associated with a tropical depression or storm can be a threat to lives and property.
Bathers and boaters beware
Regardless of the strength of the storm prior to landfall, rip currents, seas and surf will build throughout the Gulf of Mexico for the remainder of this week and into the weekend.
Squalls will intensify in the eastern Gulf and begin to propagate westward with the movement of the storm.
Waterspouts can be spawned in some of the squalls over the Gulf.
Are “home brew” tropical storms rare?
The “home brew” term is not a technical term, but it is commonly used by meteorologists to explain storms that develop in this way. Development of tropical storms in near-shore waters off the U.S. coast are common early during hurricane season, in the middle of the summer.
Tropical storms can form from old cool fronts that stall over the Deep South or along the Atlantic coast.
Another way tropical storms can form is like the situation this week.
A storm in the middle layer of the atmosphere can form or drift over the Gulf of Mexico or the Atlantic.
While this type of storm is not tropical in origin, it can slowly spin down to the surface and initiate a tropical or sub-tropical storm.
Formation of tropical storms near the U.S. is different than the more commonly known tropical storms that originate from the west coast of Africa from late summer to the early autumn. This part of the tropical season is known as the Cabo Verde season. The Cabo Verde islands are located just off the coast of Africa.
While hurricanes can form in near-coast areas of the U.S., often the most powerful hurricanes are spawned in the Cabo Verde manner and can travel thousands of miles to the west and reach the Caribbean and North America.
Kottlowski has been warning since early April that the Gulf of Mexico as well as areas east of Bermuda and off the southeastern coast of the U.S. need to be watched closely for early season development due to water temperatures running above normal.
While El Niño conditions may suppress the numbers of tropical storms and hurricanes in the Atlantic basin somewhat this year, all it takes is for one or two hurricanes to strike populated areas and result in great risk to lives and property.
Fearful sights in diverse places
Fearful flooding in diverse places
Great Crop Destruction
Being swept away
Being carried away
Flooding around the world
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