Pestilence Update

Urbanisation will make ‘break-bone’ fever one of the most common diseases of the century, say experts

Blog note. Jesus indicated that ‘fearful sights’ (various natural disasters) would occur leading up to the time known as the Tribulation and Great Tribulation (a combined seven year period of great destruction on earth). Although these types of things have occurred in the past for centuries and thousands of years, they could be identified as the ‘season of the times’ due to the ferociousness of these events. They would be occurring in greater intensity, severity, frequency, size, duration, scope … just like the pains that a woman experiences in labor the farther along she is in the labor process. We are in the ‘season of the times’ that comes just before the seven (7) year Tribulation/Great Tribulation period
… And great earthquakes shall be in diverse places, and famines, and pestilences; and fearful sights and great signs shall there be from heaven. (Luke 21:11).
… And there shall be signs in the sun, and in the moon, and in the stars; and upon the earth distress of nations, with perplexity; the sea and the waves roaring; (Luke 21:25)
… Men’s hearts failing them for fear, and for looking after those things which are coming on the earth: for the powers of heaven shall be shaken; (Luke 21:26)
… This know also, that in the last days perilous times shall come. (2 Timothy 3:1)
Jesus is giving a series of prophecies about what to look for as the age of grace comes to a close. These verses are several of many such prophecies from throughout the Bible. 2017 was the worst year in recorded history for the intensity, frequency, severity, duration and occurrence of a large number of severe natural disasters worldwide. Earthquakes, volcanoes, hurricanes, typhoons, cyclones, torrential flooding, unprecedented wildfires in unusual places, devastating droughts, excessive/scorching heat setting records everywhere, record snowfalls in Europe and Russia. Snow in the Arabia. This list can go on. Most studied Eschatologists believe these ‘fearful sights’ and massive natural disasters are all part of the ‘CONVERGENCE’ of signs that this Biblical and prophetic age is closing. Most people who study prophecy are familiar with the routine reference(s) made that these things will be like a woman having labor.

Urbanisation will make ‘break-bone’ fever one of the most common diseases of the century, say experts

Anne Gulland. The Telegraph•June 10, 2019

One of the world’s most debilitating mosquito-borne diseases is set to spread to parts of Asia, Europe, North America and Australia that are currently free of the life-threatening condition, say researchers.

Dengue virus – also known as “break-bone fever” because of the joint pain it causes – will threaten 60 per cent of the world’s population or six billion people by 2080, a new study predicts. 

The greatest increase is expected to be in Africa but much of the south eastern United States is predicted to see a rise in the disease, as is Australia and many larger cities in southern China and Japan.

The incidence of the disease is also predicted to jump in southern Europe, although the study’s authors say health authorities should be able to prevent widespread outbreaks here.

The paper, published in Nature Microbiology, is the first to look at the spread of the mosquito as the key driver of dengue, rather than just climate change, which previous studies have focused on. 

Dengue is a priority disease for scientists because of the burden it places on areas in which it occurs. Already it kills 10,000 people a year and infects over 100 million.

The disease mainly occurs in densely-packed urban areas, particularly where pools of standing water collect, which provide a perfect breeding ground for the mosquito.

The disease’s main impact is economic. Those infected by the virus are commonly confined to bed for over and week and many require hospital treatment.

Oliver Brady, lead author and assistant professor at the London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, said:  “A lot of the countries dengue affects are middle-income developing countries, where having 10 per cent of the workforce taking time off work or education at any one time is really damaging.”

The paper says that one of the key drivers of dengue is urbanisation and it predicts the disease will spread to countries such as Angola and Mozambique in southern Africa and to the Sahel region – a belt of land covering nearly two million square miles of Africa, from the Atlantic coast in the west to the Red Sea in the east.

It also predicts that the disease will spread throughout China’s southern coast – an area which is home to millions of people. 

Other areas likely to become endemic are Japan and Australia, as well as higher altitudes in central Mexico and northern Argentina. Areas with decreasing risk include Central East Africa and India.

Dr Brady said: “The important thing that has dictated the spread of dengue has not been climate – it’s been urbanisation. It’s been the growth of big cities in Latin America and the spread of the mosquito that transmits the disease.

“When people hear mosquito-borne disease they think about forest areas. But dengue is very much the disease of the 21st century – it happens in big cities. In big cities you have lots of people moving around very quickly.”

The virus is carried by two different types of mosquito – Aedes aegypti and Aedes albopictus, also known as the tiger mosquito. The tiger mosquito has spread throughout Europe, as far as northern France, but the researchers say that it is less efficient at spreading the disease than Aedes aegypti – which is responsible for much of the disease in Asia and Latin America – and health systems in Europe can pick up outbreaks quickly. 

Dengue mosquitoes bite during the day so control measures that work against malaria, such as bed nets, are not effective. Despite the disease’s prevalence there is no treatment and the only vaccine against the disease – Dengvaxia –  is only effective in people who have already had the disease. 

One of the best ways to control the dengue mosquito is to ensure that water cannot collect in containers but this is difficult to enforce over a long period of time.

Simon I. Hay, director of geospatial science at the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation and professor of health metrics sciences at the University of Washington and one of the authors of the study, said those most at risk of dengue in the future will be in countries that are least able to cope with it.

“Mitigation strategies must focus on dengue endemic areas, not just the risk of expansion to Western nations. Taking action now by investing in trials of novel vaccines and mosquito control, curbing carbon emissions, and planning for sustainable population growth and urbanisation are crucial steps for reducing the impact of the virus.”

Categories: Pestilence Update

Leave a Reply