Hurricane Update

India faces tropical cyclone threat

Blog note. Jesus indicated that ‘fearful sights’ (various natural disasters) would occur leading up to the time known as the Tribulation and Great Tribulation (a combined seven year period of great destruction on earth). Although these types of things have occurred in the past for centuries and thousands of years, they could be identified as the ‘season of the times’ due to the ferociousness of these events. They would be occurring in greater intensity, severity, frequency, size, duration, scope … just like the pains that a woman experiences in labor the farther along she is in the labor process. We are in the ‘season of the times’ that comes just before the seven (7) year Tribulation/Great Tribulation period
… And great earthquakes shall be in diverse places, and famines, and pestilences; and fearful sights and great signs shall there be from heaven. (Luke 21:11).
… And there shall be signs in the sun, and in the moon, and in the stars; and upon the earth distress of nations, with perplexity; the sea and the waves roaring; (Luke 21:25)
… Men’s hearts failing them for fear, and for looking after those things which are coming on the earth: for the powers of heaven shall be shaken; (Luke 21:26)
… This know also, that in the last days perilous times shall come. (2 Timothy 3:1)
Jesus is giving a series of prophecies about what to look for as the age of grace comes to a close. These verses are several of many such prophecies from throughout the Bible. 2017 was the worst year in recorded history for the intensity, frequency, severity, duration and occurrence of a large number of severe natural disasters worldwide. Earthquakes, volcanoes, hurricanes, typhoons, cyclones, torrential flooding, unprecedented wildfires in unusual places, devastating droughts, excessive/scorching heat setting records everywhere, record snowfalls in Europe and Russia. Snow in the Arabia. This list can go on. Most studied Eschatologists believe these ‘fearful sights’ and massive natural disasters are all part of the ‘CONVERGENCE’ of signs that this Biblical and prophetic age is closing. Most people who study prophecy are familiar with the routine reference(s) made that these things will be like a woman having labor.

India faces tropical cyclone threat

By Brandon Miller and Taylor Ward, CNN. Updated 11:21 AM ET, Tue April 30, 2019

(CNN)India is bracing for a significant tropical cyclone later this week, a storm which could be the strongest to strike the country’s coastline in almost five years.

Tropical Cyclone Fani, located in the Bay of Bengal roughly 500 kilometers (300 miles) east of Chennai, India, has rapidly intensified and should continue to strengthen through the week as it tracks north toward eastern India and Bangladesh.

Fani currently has winds of 175 kph (110 mph) and forecasts call for those winds to increase to 215 kph (135 mph) before the storm makes landfall on Friday. That would be equivalent in intensity to a Category 4 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson scale.

The last time India had a storm equivalent to a major hurricane (Category 3 or greater) make landfall was Tropical Cyclone Hudhud in 2014, according to records from NOAA.

Fani has strengthened rapidly and is the strongest storm to move through the Bay of Bengal this early in the year since Tropical Cyclone Nargis in 2008.

Nargis went on to strike Myanmar with winds over 200 kph, bringing a devastating storm surge and flooding rainfall that resulted in more than 100,000 deaths in the country.

Impacts

As Fani approaches the coast of India it will be moving nearly parallel to the coast. A slight move to the east or west would have a significant impact on the timing of landfall as well as the intensity. A more easterly track means that landfall would be farther north in India, perhaps even into Bangladesh.

If that happens the storm would likely be a category or two weaker as it moves over cooler waters.

If Fani reaches the coast equivalent to a major hurricane (winds greater than 175 kph or 110 mph) it will bring a large storm surge of several meters and significant wind damage near the landfall location.

If the storm weakens it may reduce the damage from winds and storm surge, but flooding would remain a concern. Portions of eastern India and Bangladesh can expect 150 to 300 mm (6 to 12 inches) with locally higher amounts regardless of the intensity.

Cyclone season

Fani is the first tropical cyclone of the year in the northern Indian Ocean.

The season doesn’t have a defined start and end like the Atlantic basin season, but it does have two main periods of activity: late April to early June, and October to November.

These two periods are prior to, and immediately following, India’s southwest monsoon season. The southwest monsoon season lasts from June through September and provides India with the vast majority of its annual rainfall.

Tropical cyclone activity during the monsoon season is extremely rare because the monsoon is characterized by high wind shear which makes it difficult for tropical storms to form.

Categories: Hurricane Update

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